0x7514a06c3ffdcf276500fb3988446d9137e908d2
0x7514a06c3ffdcf276500fb3988446d9137e908d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$7.72
Total PnL
$-13.27
Realised
$-3.04
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$5.00
$2.20
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.72
$0.71
- NO
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
26 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.35
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 6?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.12
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
3 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.11Apr 19, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6.52Apr 19, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.31Apr 19, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.77Apr 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.01Apr 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.49Apr 17, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.13Apr 17, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.35Apr 15, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.82Apr 14, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$1.10Apr 13, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$1.60Apr 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$1.86Apr 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$4.22Apr 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00Apr 13, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.03Apr 13, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$6.35Apr 13, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.00Apr 12, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$4.12Apr 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.00Apr 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.86Apr 12, 05:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.