Defiant-Technician
0x75569bf8f3d47a6f9340c8b92cfa58b2698943c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$10.53
Total PnL
$-9.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 32.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Jan 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 27, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$1.00Jan 27, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?$1.43Jan 27, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.82Jan 27, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.25Jan 27, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Dec 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$1.00Dec 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?$1.00Dec 19, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$1.00Dec 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$1.00Dec 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum receive more than 10,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?$1.00Dec 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Dec 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.00Dec 19, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$1.00Dec 19, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Dec 19, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 19, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?$1.00Dec 19, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".