Daring-Blinker
0x755d29a2e6b543d9463aca57d4d47f50c60b6acc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$187.19
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
76%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1260 shares @ 58.0¢·now 53.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$677.47
$-53.86
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
650 shares @ 82.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$549.21
$11.32
- YES
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
399 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jul 25, 2028$352.01
$-6.78
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
320 shares @ 78.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$306.07
$54.18
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
276 shares @ 83.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.42
$13.42
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
449 shares @ 24.1¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$240.35
$132.24
- YES
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
750 shares @ 32.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$221.25
$-19.50
- NO
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
200 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.30
$5.18
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
180 shares @ 80.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$174.16
$28.90
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
1800 shares @ 13.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.00
$-78.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$100.00Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during Fox & Friends appearance?$20.00Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$4.12Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$53.60Jul 28, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$29.89Jul 28, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$40.00Jul 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$40.50Jul 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$50.95Jul 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$253.55Jul 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$17.60Jul 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$53.90Jul 28, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?$1.82Jul 28, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.98Jul 28, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?$4.17Jul 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$94.92Jul 28, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$86.00Jul 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$87.00Jul 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$88.00Jul 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$89.00Jul 28, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during cabinet meeting?$89.00Jul 28, 07:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
45 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $29.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.