Daring-Blinker
0x755d29a2e6b543d9463aca57d4d47f50c60b6acc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$148.99
Realised
$547.29
Win rate
83%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2007 shares @ 4.4¢·now 24.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$494.63
$407.01
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
1684 shares @ 22.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$463.15
$85.54
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
467 shares @ 88.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$371.34
$-40.95
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
320 shares @ 89.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$280.15
$-5.49
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
320 shares @ 78.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$263.99
$12.10
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
310 shares @ 73.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.23
$11.75
- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
323 shares @ 67.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$232.56
$16.15
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
400 shares @ 37.9¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.98
$52.36
- YES
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
279 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.38
$-0.54
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
180 shares @ 80.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$153.91
$8.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?$0.00Jun 13, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 10?$0.00Jun 13, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?$0.00Jun 13, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$0.00Jun 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant before 2027?$14.40Jun 13, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$300.00Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.23Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$51.59Jun 12, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?$2.50Jun 12, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$150.70Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$171.65Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$1.45Jun 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$82.07Jun 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.78Jun 12, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.00Jun 12, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$77.00Jun 12, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?$7.00Jun 12, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$21.06Jun 12, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$10.00Jun 12, 04:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $23.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.