0x7562d4d7b1901c3cccef6ecb1951de32c9bf0681
0x7562d4d7b1901c3cccef6ecb1951de32c9bf0681
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$25.30
Total PnL
$-141.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.86
$6.76
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$1.65
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.89
$0.79
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.32
$0.65
- YES
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.18
$0.08
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
14 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.03
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.90
$-0.20
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.25
- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.62
$-0.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.72Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.92Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.92Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$2.13Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?$2.22Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.34Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $2.67Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.70Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$2.78Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3.79Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$5.94Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$15.13Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.82May 27, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$4.78May 27, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$5.68May 27, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.67May 6, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?$1.67May 6, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?$1.67May 6, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.69May 6, 12:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.