0x759893b22db89988ade10c9db79f22445ff131b1
0x759893b22db89988ade10c9db79f22445ff131b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$43.71
Total PnL
$-12.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.85
$5.75
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.03
$1.90
- NO
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.68
$0.57
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 73.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.61
$0.32
- NO
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.49
$0.44
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.61
$0.31
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
8 shares @ 64.2¢·now 19.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.58
$-3.56
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
14 shares @ 38.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$-3.71
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.66
$-4.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.01Jun 1, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$2.78May 27, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.14May 23, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.13May 23, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.04May 15, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.02May 15, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$5.39May 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.60May 9, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.97May 9, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.02May 9, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.99May 5, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$5.31May 1, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.20May 1, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$0.03Apr 30, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.03Apr 30, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.10Apr 29, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$5.04Apr 29, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 25, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$6.56Apr 25, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$5.11Apr 24, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.