Bad-Council
0x75b0e453cde8ec25e17ff31055b7330eafdfd017
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.52
Total PnL
$-25.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 65.6¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$3.27
$-1.31
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
32 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?
32 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- NO
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
16 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.78
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
16 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.89
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$1.00Jul 27, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4.58Jul 20, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 15?$5.43Jul 16, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by July 31?$5.00Jul 13, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.32Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$1.00Jul 6, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$5.00Jun 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00Jun 22, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $5.26Jun 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $5.00Jun 15, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.06Jun 8, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$5.43Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$5.10Jun 1, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$5.78May 25, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$5.71May 25, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$5.31May 22, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$3.22May 22, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$5.28May 16, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$7.61May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$5.02May 11, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 04:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.