Capital-Parallelogram
0x75e5a1adec477458cb86ecb1ec827e3857d60059
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$984.65
Total PnL
$332.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
1000 shares @ 52.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$834.65
$305.61
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
240 shares @ 42.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$150.00
$49.20
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- EGYPT
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.94Jul 20, 01:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$77.70Jul 16, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$97.00Jul 16, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$111.45Jul 16, 01:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$381.87Jul 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$101.18Jul 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$387.57Jul 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.19Jul 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-15?$2.40Jul 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$2.93Jul 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.23Jul 15, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$10.34Jul 15, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$10.32Jul 15, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.40Jul 15, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.39Jul 15, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $59.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.