Familiar-Emitter
0x75f91c447eadc22abb0538b196a9bb7326205868
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$51.68
Total PnL
$-2.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58 shares @ 17.2¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
276 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$7.86
$-0.24
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$3.45
$-0.55
- YES
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.83
$-0.17
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.81
$-0.19
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.81
$-0.19
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$3.12Jul 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.96Jul 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman moon landing in 2026?$0.92Jul 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.87Jul 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$0.79Jul 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?$5.37Jul 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$1.04Jul 13, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$1.05Jul 13, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.00Jul 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 13-19?$1.07Jul 13, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.05Jul 13, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$3.15Jul 13, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?$2.10Jul 13, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-3.5)$1.05Jul 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-3.5)$1.05Jul 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?$1.05Jul 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-4.5)$1.05Jul 13, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?$1.05Jul 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$2.10Jul 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.05Jul 13, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.