Common-Captain
0x7649a9551f7e4c20222f093af87d7e4e1cc792c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$297.13
Total PnL
$-12.36
Realised
$-23.14
Win rate
28%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
67 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$67.00
$28.14
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
50 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$50.00
$25.50
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
32 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$32.00
$8.64
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?
19 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$19.00
$10.83
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
18 shares @ 87.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$18.00
$2.22
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be greater than 2,500,000?
15 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$15.00
$9.15
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
14 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$14.00
$2.52
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
12 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.45
$2.09
- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
9 shares @ 38.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.79
$5.29
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the first round?
7 shares @ 32.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$7.00
$4.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$23.36Jan 15, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.85Jan 15, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$3.78Jan 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$3.78Jan 15, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$1.30Jan 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$8.14Jan 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$3.70Jan 15, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$10.83Jan 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$3.90Jan 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$4.29Jan 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$4.29Jan 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$10.53Jan 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$4.16Jan 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.10Jan 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$4.26Jan 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$7.10Jan 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$5.67Jan 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$4.86Jan 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$1.33Jan 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$11.21Jan 15, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 23:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".