Terrific-Reparation-Till
0x764a356c2ebb4ce800dff097acf7538b413d83d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$4.08
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- NO
Will Michael Olise win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 87.8¢·now 86.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$86.55
$-1.30
- NO
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$80.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$74.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 60.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$65.00
$-55.00
- NO
Will Azzi Fudd have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
50 shares @ 98.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$48.70
$-0.60
- NO
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?
50 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$48.35
$-0.55
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$48.10
$-0.80
- NO
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
50 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$48.00
$-0.30
- NO
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.38
$-0.63
- NO
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 97.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$46.88
$-1.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$21.81Jul 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 15?$7.20Jul 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 15?$7.20Jul 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?$0.90Jul 14, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$0.06Jul 14, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$39.50Jul 14, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?$45.30Jul 14, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLPacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.21Jul 14, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.19Jul 14, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30?$45.85Jul 14, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?$18.65Jul 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$18.00Jul 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?$14.28Jul 14, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$3.22Jul 14, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Leslie win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?$0.01Jul 14, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of July 13 2026?$0.01Jul 14, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.95Jul 14, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 14?$21.59Jul 14, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$0.01Jul 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 15?$21.59Jul 14, 02:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.