0x767178460fe3973399b585256f833e7893f99798
0x767178460fe3973399b585256f833e7893f99798
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$59.19
Total PnL
$9.38
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 48.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.00
$5.15
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$10.00
$6.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.00
$4.00
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles
5 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$4.20
- NO
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$2.87
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 74.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.74
$1.59
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5 shares @ 46.9¢·now 72.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.61
$1.26
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.17
$0.13
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
37 shares @ 5.4¢·now 7.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.83
$0.83
- NO
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$2.52
$0.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?$2.26Jul 11, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$1.90Jul 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.45Jul 11, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by more than 10%?$0.00Jul 10, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?$0.50Jul 9, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?$0.00Jul 7, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$0.50Jul 7, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$0.87Jul 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?$0.87Jul 7, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.49Jul 7, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$1.80Jul 7, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.90Jul 7, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$0.00Jul 6, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$0.93Jul 6, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$1.05Jul 6, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.85Jul 5, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 5?$0.00Jul 5, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 5?$1.11Jul 5, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1.74Jul 5, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?$0.00Jul 4, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.