Unusual-Melon
0x76ca4cd82bfd01f077cf8237408704eac9ec3a5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$68.95
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Iran leadership change by September 30?
315 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$52.02
$2.02
- YES
Iran leadership change by July 31?
346 shares @ 5.8¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.93
$-3.07
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 July 28–August 3?
2402 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-202.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1920 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-215.00
- NO
US military action against Iran by Monday?
1249 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
- NO
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
792 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-380.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in July?
529 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-170.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
491 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election?
468 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
463 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-150.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$235.43Jul 18, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by September 30?$50.00Jul 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$20.00Jul 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$70.18Jul 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$101.41Jul 6, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$100.27Jul 6, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$244.14Jun 30, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$300.00Jun 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.00Jun 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$10.13Jun 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$60.00Jun 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$120.00Jun 15, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$144.93Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 25, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 25, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$1.64May 6, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.25May 6, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$2.17Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.22Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$0.23Apr 28, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $68.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 06:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 10:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.