Well-Off-Pug
0x76d185f2c47f4979c087a01bec35064c2ce5a453
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$29.41
Total PnL
$-187.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.50
$6.30
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
50 shares @ 31.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.25
$-8.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
63 shares @ 34.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.59
$-14.91
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.98
$-1.52
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-1.70
- YES
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?
100 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
100 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
40 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-9.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$4.30Jul 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.86Jul 11, 07:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $6.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.