Menacing-Contrail
0x771293a34f18f936023bbaa37db010a232030c28
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$26.8K
Total PnL
$2.0K
Realised
$931.63
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
7000 shares @ 70.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.8K
$809.22
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 68.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$485.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3500 shares @ 70.4¢·now 66.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-148.75
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 64.6¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$297.50
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
3333 shares @ 59.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$-378.27
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
2000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$-50.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2500 shares @ 67.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.5K
$-212.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 36.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.4K
$526.79
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2300 shares @ 59.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$58.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
2000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$-29.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$8.09May 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$89.00May 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$89.00May 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$89.00May 28, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$8.09May 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$81.24May 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?$1.5KMay 28, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$401.76May 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$325.00May 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$9.32May 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$220.00May 28, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$16.57May 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$66.25May 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$851.02May 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$116.04May 28, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$56.83May 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$325.00May 28, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$28.76May 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$344.27May 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$122.68May 28, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $267.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 22:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".