Black-Decoder
0x77aa8089431a1e95d4f1a28eb7b377fc8f708d9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$266.85
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-35.43
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
2500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.50
$-102.50
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
800 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.97
$-6.03
- YES
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
110 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$0.39
$-16.66
- YES
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
10028 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5554 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
824 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-60.15
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
600 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-143.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $50.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.