Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$321.65
Liquidity
$3.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5243h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5243.4h
- 12:34SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5243h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.7pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.7pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.9pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.9pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.8pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.9pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.3pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.4pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.6pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.8pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.8pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.3pp
to 2¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 17¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 1¢+0.3pp
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Other · Vol $72.76
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Other · Vol $1.16
- 1¢+0.9pp
Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Other · Vol $1.3K
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 6¢+0.4pp
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Other · Vol $14.16
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Contestant D win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-2.6pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 88¢+46.5pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $766.2K
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $718.2K
- 14¢-26.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $631.6K
- 85¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $566.4K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $541.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22Ambiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- 0x5a80…a9831.3K
- Capital-Sari785
- Known-Use477
- Terrible-Ordinary365
- Delayed-Vanadyl230