Wallet profile

Double-Scrim

0x78048aa26ac1967566b8ed11910b529e5f2d7025

activity 86/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

86/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

125

Open notional

$130.8K

Total PnL

$-89.8K

Realised

$57.1K

Win rate

78%

18 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 125

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$128.5K

Trades

5

Buy share

11%

Window

May 31, 04:10 UTC → Jun 9, 07:11 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $64.1K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

32/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

78% win rate over 18 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
review

47 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$128.5K

5 trades

Buy share

11%

Sample

limited

5 ledger trades

Top market concentration

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

$55.1K · 43% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?43% of recorded volume$55.1KWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?39% of recorded volume$50.0KUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?11% of recorded volume$14.1K

Profile dimensions

Activity71 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence60 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry11 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk62 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
47
Avg trade size
$797.77
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 22, 00:04 UTC
Last active
Jun 22, 03:15 UTC
Win rate sample
18 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 09:45:57 UTC·src:Polymarket Data