Oval-Statistics-Cello
0x783e4a21b47dac53bb609582af5d741c38795a19
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$302.07
Total PnL
$29.53
Realised
$35.95
Win rate
64%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NO
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?
9 shares @ 57.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 20, 2026$6.64
$1.65
- NO
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.79
$0.80
- O 75.5
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$5.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.5¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$0.41
- NO
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$5.37
$0.38
- NO
Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
5 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?
8 shares @ 53.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.29
$0.74
- NO
Will GBP/USD hit 1.50 (High) in 2026?
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.23
$0.83
- NO
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
6 shares @ 80.8¢·now 84.1¢·exp Jan 18, 2027$5.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$5.15
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?$2.34Aug 15, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?$2.65Aug 15, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?$2.05Aug 14, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?$4.13Aug 14, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$4.99Aug 14, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$4.78Aug 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?$4.85Aug 14, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$2.98Aug 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$5.04Aug 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$0.27Aug 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$5.00Aug 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$3.46Aug 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?$0.01Aug 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$4.99Aug 13, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$0.65Aug 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$0.26Aug 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$0.83Aug 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$0.77Aug 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$0.16Aug 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$0.16Aug 13, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 66 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
66 closed markets, 64% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.