Nocturnal-Trigger
0x788b96dc14aea24d1a47bd2a9bc4e602e20043f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-601.31
Realised
$-11.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1163 shares @ 43.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$726.74
$226.75
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
770 shares @ 64.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$581.55
$81.55
- YES
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.58
$3.58
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1340 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.42
$-4.87
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
2817 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
1043 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
495 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 24?
355 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$400.00Jun 4, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$100.00Jun 4, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$204.00Jun 3, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$2.34Jun 3, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$1.27Jun 3, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$55.41Jun 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$2.83Jun 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$1.37Jun 3, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$20.98Jun 3, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$269.56Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 2, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$50.66Jun 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$10.39Jun 2, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$103.15Jun 2, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$238.98Jun 1, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$102.33Jun 1, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$520.15Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$14.85May 29, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$300.00May 29, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$500.00May 29, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $77.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".