Light-Outlay
0x789f25634bef3637c30a242e8d23e6a5de6d2e8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
1841 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-533.86
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
1563 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
1317 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
1075 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
1025 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-697.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
1002 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-520.86
- SPURS
Thunder vs. Spurs
994 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-537.02
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
944 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-495.00
- PISTONS
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
685 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-376.84
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
649 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$10.37Jul 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$101.18Jul 15, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMCroatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi$114.94Jul 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia Open: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi$100.65Jul 15, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMSwedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Grigor Dimitrov$812.76Jul 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Grigor Dimitrov$701.06Jul 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Grigor Dimitrov$61.02Jul 15, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMMLB All-Star Game$125.00Jul 15, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLB All-Star Game$101.00Jul 15, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWashington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5$117.47Jul 15, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5$100.75Jul 14, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-14?$313.73Jul 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$100.00Jul 14, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$203.62Jul 14, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMIstanbul 2: Ayla Aksu vs Vendula Valdmannova$53.19Jul 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIstanbul 2: Ayla Aksu vs Vendula Valdmannova$50.15Jul 14, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIstanbul 2: Ayla Aksu vs Vendula Valdmannova$98.95Jul 14, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIstanbul 2: Ayla Aksu vs Vendula Valdmannova$101.05Jul 14, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream$60.24Jul 14, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream$50.42Jul 14, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $124.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 20:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.