Serene-Downtown
0x78a66e5dad730bf9e0640da84396521ad108583b
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.69
Total PnL
$-15.50
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.68
$-3.32
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- OVER
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.995h ago
- TRADESELLWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.985h ago
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.995h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0011h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$0.8614h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5.1515h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$1.0115h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?$1.2515h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.0215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?$1.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$1.011d ago
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5$1.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?$1.021d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?$0.862d ago
- TRADESELLWill the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?$1.032d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
