0x78b339d6f29d08a202b580b6fa7b06e7fda06dda
0x78b339d6f29d08a202b580b6fa7b06e7fda06dda
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$267.26
Total PnL
$-4.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
80 shares @ 61.5¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$45.84
$-3.20
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
21 shares @ 94.5¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.58
$0.58
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
87 shares @ 22.7¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.23
$0.39
- NO
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
205 shares @ 5.7¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$16.73
$5.03
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
26 shares @ 49.2¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.42
$1.63
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14 shares @ 89.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.97
$1.32
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
15 shares @ 93.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.77
$-0.09
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14 shares @ 82.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.66
$2.32
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
21 shares @ 51.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.41
$-1.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$12.47Jun 13, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?$1.02Jun 13, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,100,000 and 2,400,000 voters?$1.05Jun 13, 12:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$21.28Jun 12, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$23.69Jun 12, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$20.61Jun 12, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$24.11Jun 12, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$39.69Jun 12, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$3.10Jun 12, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$1.34Jun 12, 03:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 11, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 11, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 11, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 11, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 11, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$1.02Jun 11, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 11, 15:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $16.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.