Artistic-Firm
0x78d01fedaf1e1a85433320a23eb60b14c2d3a337
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$136.64
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- NO
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.48
$8.36
- YES
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.83
$3.79
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
7 shares @ 2.5¢·now 91.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.28
$6.11
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
15 shares @ 37.6¢·now 37.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.66
$0.01
- YES
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
5 shares @ 7.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.00
$4.62
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 92.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.93
$0.33
- UNDER
FK Tukums 2000/TSS vs. FC RFS: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$4.91
$4.81
- YES
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.67
$-0.33
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: AC Horsens O/U 5.5 Corners$0.10Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAC Horsens vs. FC Nordsjælland: AC Horsens O/U 5.5 Corners$0.10Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by July 31?$4.77Jul 28, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Fox & Friends appearance?$5.00Jul 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Kuopion PS O/U 3.5 Corners$0.24Jul 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$0.48Jul 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$0.08Jul 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$0.05Jul 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$0.15Jul 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$0.18Jul 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$0.18Jul 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 30?$0.20Jul 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 30?$0.00Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 30?$0.20Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$0.02Jul 28, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$0.50Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$0.32Jul 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during Fox & Friends appearance?$0.58Jul 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during Fox & Friends appearance?$0.87Jul 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Fox & Friends appearance?$2.41Jul 28, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.