Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Probability
52¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$95.74
Liquidity
$29.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1237.4h
- 10:33SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1237h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 52¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 52¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 52¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 52¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 51¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 51¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 51¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 54¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).