0x78ec920f3ea178e25bfeb92dcfd856c4e97f2d07
0x78ec920f3ea178e25bfeb92dcfd856c4e97f2d07
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$351.82
Total PnL
$-146.93
Realised
$-5.74
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
235 shares @ 59.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$99.88
$-40.97
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
75 shares @ 59.1¢·now 41.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$31.39
$-12.91
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 33.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$21.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1800 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.70
$0.90
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 27.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.50
$5.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
25 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.63
$0.13
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 71.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.37
$-3.48
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
30 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.05
$-1.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$4.00May 16, 05:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.82May 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.65May 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.65May 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$8.47May 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.85May 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.85May 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.60May 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.80May 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$11.40May 15, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$56.99May 15, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.24May 15, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$12.47May 15, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$12.47May 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.14May 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.12May 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.03May 15, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".