Dependent-Railroad
0x7951f0a26a3f2d1d75029e6ee11043fb8f7d9fd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$48.42
Total PnL
$-10.50
Realised
$72.22
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 80.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.53
$-2.23
- YES
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?
30 shares @ 71.0¢·now 59.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.75
$-3.55
- YES
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 26.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.65
$-3.15
- YES
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?
29 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.50
$-2.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
23 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
20 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
19 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
17 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
16 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
15 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.01Jul 21, 04:30 UTC
- REWARD$1.54Jul 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$23.76Jul 17, 09:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.22Jul 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?$21.30Jul 16, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?$2.60Jul 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?$5.20Jul 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?$2.07Jul 16, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?$4.60Jul 16, 17:25 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.23Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$4.99Jul 7, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$2.75Jul 7, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.10Jul 7, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$3.15Jul 7, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.70Jul 7, 23:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.72Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$6.99Jul 3, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.40Jul 3, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.45Jul 3, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.