Variable-Cascade
0x796dfd40c0d96eac42da8edd6e7d9b5b3dbd9551
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$871.17
Total PnL
$85.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
239 shares @ 32.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$132.78
$54.81
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
321 shares @ 10.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$120.44
$88.32
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
428 shares @ 14.7¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.38
$50.34
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?
133 shares @ 34.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$96.16
$50.22
- NO
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
261 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$74.41
$-3.99
- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
244 shares @ 14.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$71.98
$37.82
- NO
Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?
96 shares @ 27.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$59.21
$33.21
- YES
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
65 shares @ 35.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$49.53
$26.72
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
362 shares @ 8.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$45.20
$16.27
- NO
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?
96 shares @ 27.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$32.25
$6.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$28.93Jun 6, 07:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.49Jun 6, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.87Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$31.52Jun 5, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$31.52Jun 5, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$25.99Jun 5, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?$25.99Jun 5, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?$25.99Jun 5, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?$84.16Jun 5, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$38.17Jun 5, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$34.16Jun 5, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?$49.64Jun 5, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?$52.00Jun 5, 00:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.62Jun 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?$59.41Jun 5, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?$2.97Jun 5, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?$5.00Jun 5, 00:38 UTC
- REWARD$6.17Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?$25.99Jun 4, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?$16.39Jun 4, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".