Outrageous-Afterlife
0x79a899a6c52addf90a67092091e24c407355bb66
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$273.80
Realised
$-86.91
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$496.25
$21.25
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$462.50
$32.50
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
400 shares @ 93.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$397.00
$22.20
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
395 shares @ 84.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$345.63
$10.53
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
450 shares @ 66.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$317.24
$17.25
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
270 shares @ 91.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$266.89
$20.89
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$198.40
$4.20
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$194.80
$16.80
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.00
$3.00
- NO
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$182.50
$2.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?$99.50Aug 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$128.21Aug 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?$29.76Aug 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$69.37Aug 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$29.76Aug 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$27.00Aug 15, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$73.80Aug 15, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$99.60Aug 15, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$99.20Aug 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$99.04Aug 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$96.40Aug 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?$80.00Aug 11, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$51.10Aug 11, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELL0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?$71.53Aug 11, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$96.70Aug 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?$33.99Aug 11, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$19.26Aug 8, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$45.20Aug 6, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$57.22Aug 6, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$0.99Aug 6, 19:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $67.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.