Memorable-Defense
0x79e60a35e3d1b0664d418d6cd318fcd9fac6aaa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$211.85
Total PnL
$8.26
Realised
$3.39
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$199.71
$13.19
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.07
$0.08
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-37 House seat?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.70
$-1.80
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.25
$-2.25
- YES
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?
19 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$-0.47
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 91.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.86
$-0.06
- NO
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 16.4¢·now 13.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.16
- YES
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
3 shares @ 6.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.47
$0.29
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.39
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?$2.50Jul 13, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.66Jun 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$23.34Jun 13, 07:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the CA-29 House seat?$3.00Jun 11, 16:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$9.80Jun 5, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat?$1.44Jun 5, 03:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?$4.50Jun 3, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLVanta IPO before 2027?$2.07Jun 1, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $7.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.