Needy-Greatgrandfather
0x7a416be881cc959f31d9f2b903f83a1ccbdb4cb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$77.41
Total PnL
$-28.09
Realised
$1.30
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
21 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$21.38
$0.11
- HAILEY BAPTISTE
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste
17 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$16.86
$0.02
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.20
$-0.40
- YES
Bitcoin above 79,600 on May 3, 10PM ET?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$4.99
$0.00
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.90
$0.60
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.90
$0.20
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?$2.18Jun 11, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?$1.09Jun 11, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?$1.09Jun 11, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$1.09Jun 10, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$1.09Jun 10, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Ganezer receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$1.00Jun 10, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Equatorial Guinea 0 - 0 Comoros?$0.51Jun 8, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Equatorial Guinea 0 - 0 Comoros?$0.12Jun 8, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Equatorial Guinea 0 - 0 Comoros?$1.09Jun 8, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.64Jun 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.52Jun 2, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.09Jun 2, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$2.00May 26, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill VOLT win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$1.00May 25, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?$1.10May 21, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?$1.10May 21, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kyle Fraser win Survivor Season 50?$2.00May 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$0.20May 19, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$0.20May 19, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.73May 15, 12:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.