Thoughtful-Blind
0x7a5ab9732b33245f5b8214a3ce7b12678dae0b7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$2.93
Total PnL
$-134.31
Realised
$1.81
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 14.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.52
$-1.68
- YES
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
12 shares @ 13.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.21
$-1.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
1083 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 12PM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12PM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 12PM ET
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
105 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $110 March 2-8?
80 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Apr 9, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-03-26?$5.00Mar 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.21Mar 26, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$0.09Mar 26, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-03-26?$2.20Mar 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-03-26?$1.55Mar 26, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Cavaliers$1.25Mar 25, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMagic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5$6.50Mar 25, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5$3.05Mar 25, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5$3.15Mar 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-17?$3.55Mar 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-17?$2.19Mar 17, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-17?$2.00Mar 16, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-17?$2.00Mar 16, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Huachipato win on 2026-03-16?$1.00Mar 16, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.68Mar 15, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.10Mar 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$4.76Mar 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$4.00Mar 15, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".