0x7a6379b7099932163a8007bfd76ec5647881b4ef
0x7a6379b7099932163a8007bfd76ec5647881b4ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
153
Open notional
$908.48
Total PnL
$157.82
Realised
$132.41
Win rate
47%
146 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
99 shares @ 7.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.09
$92.15
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
92 shares @ 4.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$91.95
$87.96
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
83 shares @ 36.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$83.00
$52.38
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
65 shares @ 13.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$65.17
$56.10
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 72.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.20
$11.43
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
47 shares @ 61.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$40.19
$11.67
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 74.4¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.52
$9.42
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 41.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$29.84
$17.46
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 48.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.69
$15.19
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 48.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.57
$5.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$7.84Jun 1, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 146 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
146 closed markets, 47% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 146 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.