0x7a6379b7099932163a8007bfd76ec5647881b4ef
0x7a6379b7099932163a8007bfd76ec5647881b4ef
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$608.55
Total PnL
$82.20
Realised
$231.92
Win rate
53%
103 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
66 shares @ 46.2¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.22
$-0.44
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
78 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.12
$0.39
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 79.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.02
$-0.61
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 30.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$24.47
$-6.24
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 35.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.16
$-2.20
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
82 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.09
$-1.70
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
48 shares @ 42.5¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.32
$0.73
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
45 shares @ 39.9¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.58
$2.75
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
86 shares @ 22.5¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.39
$-0.03
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 20.6¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.45
$-2.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$0.1251s ago
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$2.002m ago
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$3.003m ago
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$8.223m ago
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$6.8013m ago
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$0.0426m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$3.0035m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.8339m ago
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$9.6840m ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$11.8847m ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.1049m ago
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$0.5852m ago
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$3.241h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$6.761h ago
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$0.941h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.901h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.671h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$6.501h ago
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$1.441h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$9.002h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 51s ago
- Win rate sample
- 103 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".