Excitable-Reaction
0x7a9d8a8a598fa0c367a2e86bb1502656dee50eff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$-20.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
297460 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-297.46
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
101253 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-506.27
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
99999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
51878 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-113.72
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
42443 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-322.87
- NO
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
31500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
20029 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-229.98
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
18181 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-108.09
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
11012 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
9305 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.5K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.07Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.91Jun 2, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$103.19Jun 2, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 22:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.19May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$209.90May 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$200.88May 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$219.09May 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$38.19May 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$374.94May 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$348.99May 17, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.6KMay 17, 05:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$41.67May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.81May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$15.75May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$16.95May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$83.61May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$37.98May 16, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$27.58May 16, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $39.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".