Enlightened-Chill
0x7aae2455dc23569115f72c42bd5f35fc6e416ebb
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$25.37
Total PnL
$-171.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2AM ET
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?
24 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-19.54
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Jazz
19 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
16 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$20.01Jul 25, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.16Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.02Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.11Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$1.06Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$1.02Jun 14, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$1.00Jun 14, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Jun 14, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.30Jun 14, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.72Jun 14, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.07Jun 14, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$21.35May 31, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.01May 27, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 27, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$0.00May 27, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.05May 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00May 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.01May 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.02May 13, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $367.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.