Zealous-Guest
0x7ab0d7fac0f251fba324ce019f1d9a8118ae4d98
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.0K
Total PnL
$-60.90
Realised
$0.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
6211 shares @ 59.1¢·now 59.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.7K
$-3.11
- NO
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
2144 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.6K
$-10.72
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 80.1¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$-0.75
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
783 shares @ 73.2¢·now 73.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$573.55
$0.39
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
16 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$6.43
$0.43
- AURORA GAMING
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs
19 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
15 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on June 30?
13 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 20?
8 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.40Jul 23, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$182.56Jul 23, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$64.34Jul 23, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$129.61Jul 23, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.29Jul 23, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$30.00Jul 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.2KJul 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.72Jul 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.6KJul 23, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.08Jul 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$80.23Jul 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.99Jul 23, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$15.02Jul 23, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.7KJul 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$52.22Jul 23, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.2KJul 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A AND LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend AND LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season AND Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B$7.99Jul 23, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.06Jun 8, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$12.90Jun 8, 09:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $462.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.