Haunting-Addiction
0x7adfa43b883cb3a06aa803080f92117fb6a8e01e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$331.00
Total PnL
$3.86
Realised
$-10.03
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
311 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$311.00
$28.40
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
13 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$13.00
$6.63
- NO
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$4.00
$0.68
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
3 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$0.52
- SAINT JOSEPHS HAWKS
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
28 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-14.28
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
13 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- NO
Will Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
1 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$6.37Jan 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the first round by 2–4%?$1.76Jan 15, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the first round by 2–4%?$1.65Jan 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$2.24Jan 15, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.96Jan 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.30Jan 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$5.28Jan 15, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$0.96Jan 15, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$14.28Jan 15, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$5.28Jan 15, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.36Jan 15, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$6.72Jan 15, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$6.08Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$5.32Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$14.44Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$14.44Jan 15, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$11.40Jan 15, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.76Jan 15, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.05Jan 14, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.27Jan 14, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $13.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.