Few-Persimmon
0x7ae8b850049d07152b1741fbde10c7b6c0a45a42
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-13.90
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1000 shares @ 91.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$975.50
$59.50
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
500 shares @ 77.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$457.50
$69.50
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
200 shares @ 76.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$160.00
$8.00
- YES
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
207 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$152.15
$-3.10
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$134.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
100 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$97.35
$3.15
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 12.1¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.50
$9.30
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 15.6¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.90
$0.70
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 12.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.90
$-1.70
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 10.5¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.90
$-3.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$156.41Jun 4, 15:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$148.00Jun 3, 17:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$156.00Jun 2, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$200.00Jun 2, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$300.00Jun 2, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.8KJun 2, 03:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$200.00May 31, 03:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$84.80May 29, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$94.91May 29, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$84.60May 29, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$94.91May 29, 03:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?$2.41May 28, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$77.60May 28, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $65.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".