Similar-Balloonist
0x7b02b2bac2a30ed5e40b7094e734f4c3dc2a4991
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$414.3K
Total PnL
$-10.5K
Realised
$30.9K
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
320138 shares @ 37.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$318.4K
$198.8K
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
31001 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$31.0K
$139.51
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
132685 shares @ 6.1¢·now 23.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$30.8K
$22.8K
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
12511 shares @ 7.7¢·now 79.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.9K
$9.0K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10720 shares @ 76.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.8K
$606.80
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
42667 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.8K
$28.97
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
25168 shares @ 15.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$-213.80
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2794 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.8K
$702.74
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2803 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.3K
$182.19
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
2372 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.2K
$177.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$12.9KJun 14, 06:36 UTC
- REWARD$0.35Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.33Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$9.71Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.0KJun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.3KJun 13, 04:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.33Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.12Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.32Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$15.6KJun 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$12.7KJun 11, 12:40 UTC
- YIELD$1.32Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.10Jun 10, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.10Jun 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.22Jun 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.10Jun 10, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.10Jun 10, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$65.66Jun 10, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$551.88Jun 10, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.3KJun 10, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$77.9K
Trades
5
Buy share
100%
Window
May 16, 19:50 UTC → Jun 2, 16:47 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.9K@99¢Jun 2, 16:47 UTC
- BUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$24.1K@49¢May 21, 12:51 UTC
- BUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$17.3K@98¢May 20, 17:54 UTC
- BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$8.0K@97¢May 20, 17:54 UTC
- BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$8.6K@97¢May 16, 19:41 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$77.9K
5 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
$24.1K · 31% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.