Lone-Washbasin
0x7b2f4ad73b5d5649d5af1f64bbc001f01d0e1002
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$16.88
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-9.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
91 shares @ 55.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.88
$-34.05
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
3162 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-332.29
- YES
Will Raissa Butkowski win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
1776 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-67.06
- YES
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
1271 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-395.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
902 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
781 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
546 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-214.57
- YES
US strike on Colombia by March 31?
120 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$47.30May 13, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$47.34May 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.08May 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$294.74May 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$127.12May 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$4.88May 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$18.53May 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$32.04May 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$50.45May 12, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$91.94May 12, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$92.63May 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$92.72May 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$110.29May 11, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.06May 7, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$115.42May 7, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raissa Butkowski win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$69.64May 7, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$41.48May 2, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$104.44May 2, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$20.78May 2, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$27.14May 2, 11:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $76.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.