Leading-Crayon
0x7b58a66933e86d6a0ef0dd479b7b738e4bdb6d0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$51.16
Total PnL
$-7.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$50.80
$0.80
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.15
$-0.85
- UNDER
SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-24?
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
317 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
86 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
27 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
20 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$1.45Jun 8, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?$52.16Jun 1, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?$52.01May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$50.21May 18, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?$0.00May 18, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?$0.00May 18, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?$0.00May 18, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?$30.03May 18, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?$30.03May 18, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?$42.04May 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?$42.00May 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?$30.00May 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?$30.00May 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 14, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?$102.31May 14, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?$102.02May 4, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.00May 4, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 1?$0.00May 4, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 1?$0.00May 4, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$0.46May 4, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $26.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.