Rapid-Staircase
0x7bb78a23f47daea9676dd738ccbe6d24dec91276
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$13.19
Total PnL
$-119.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
45 shares @ 66.2¢·now 25.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$11.32
$-18.68
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.28
$-19.72
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$5.88Jun 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$1.02May 19, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$1.01May 19, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$1.03May 19, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$55.56May 19, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$4.00Mar 30, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 30, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$30.00Mar 1, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Mar 1, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 01:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.