Male-Buzzard
0x7c0f9c4588dbd59cdf113fc0505c273162905f1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.25
Total PnL
$-18.20
Realised
$-2.77
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 7?
9 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$1.00May 26, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$1.04May 26, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$1.07May 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 13?$1.07May 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 11, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$1.07Apr 29, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 26, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 7?$1.00Apr 7, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 6, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.