Peppery-Capital
0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$673.3K
Total PnL
$41.9K
Realised
$36.4K
Win rate
79%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
280017 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$279.9K
$3.2K
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$239.6K
$89.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$60.5K
$-89.5K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
25943 shares @ 75.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.4K
$732.47
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8482 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.3K
$89.06
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
8680 shares @ 67.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.2K
$2.3K
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
5147 shares @ 91.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$220.73
- YES
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
4309 shares @ 73.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.3K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
3208 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.2K
$68.55
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
3211 shares @ 88.1¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$216.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$339.14Jul 28, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.77Jul 28, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$352.44Jul 28, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$28.95Jul 28, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8.05Jul 28, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.75Jul 28, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$11.33Jul 28, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.87Jul 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$21.19Jul 28, 02:04 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$300.0KJul 28, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$21.24Jul 28, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.09Jul 28, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.25Jul 28, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.80Jul 28, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 28, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.25Jul 28, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.98Jul 28, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.87Jul 28, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2.97Jul 28, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.4KJul 28, 01:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$117.5K
Trades
3
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 7, 23:00 UTC → Jul 15, 22:55 UTC
- BUYUS forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$20.2K@99¢Jun 27, 13:17 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$10.0K@100¢Jun 7, 22:51 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$11.1K@100¢Jun 7, 22:51 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
67/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 8 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
42 closed markets, 79% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
8 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
$43.2K · 37% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.