Thoughtful-Armor
0x7c401a456e7f880d008ee498061d6b604233440b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$358.83
Total PnL
$-20.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
200 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$198.70
$0.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
167 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$159.92
$-5.08
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.21
$-3.29
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
16 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$165.08May 17, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$170.17May 16, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$198.60May 15, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.50May 14, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$170.01May 14, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$185.19May 14, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$201.21May 14, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$200.06May 8, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$185.01May 8, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$42.81May 8, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$85.00May 8, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$90.17May 8, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$150.15May 8, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$150.00Apr 22, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$42.00Apr 22, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$90.00Apr 22, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$310.59Apr 22, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$310.00Apr 14, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?$122.12Apr 14, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$155.31Apr 14, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $154.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 05:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".