Popular-Trigonometry
0x7c609519781aeac8f49a48a912b9f80b62af5c52
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-54.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
977 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$929.80
$36.10
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
909 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$822.73
$22.73
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$661.50
$24.50
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
620 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$554.90
$15.70
- NO
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
265 shares @ 68.7¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$236.27
$54.42
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
321 shares @ 71.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$187.54
$-40.07
- YES
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
179 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$178.56
$44.44
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
122 shares @ 41.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.51
$44.51
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
70 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$68.36
$6.75
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
113 shares @ 88.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$65.97
$-34.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.22Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Jul 12, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.00Jul 12, 01:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$50.00Jul 10, 00:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$57.00Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$11.70Jul 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.00Jul 7, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.00Jul 7, 04:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.22Jul 6, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.99Jul 6, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58.00Jul 6, 05:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $107.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.