0x7c6f8987cd5e49c0ba4756c246a304250f1a691b
0x7c6f8987cd5e49c0ba4756c246a304250f1a691b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$81.32
Total PnL
$-79.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
211 shares @ 19.4¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.11
$-2.85
- NO
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
34 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$14.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?
66 shares @ 15.1¢·now 14.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$9.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 25, 2026$6.01
$-3.99
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12 shares @ 42.2¢·now 38.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.57
$-0.43
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.50
$-0.29
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.99
$-1.01
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42.36Jul 1, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$4.76Jul 1, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$8.00Jul 1, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$8.80Jul 1, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.32Jul 1, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$10.48Jul 1, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.05Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$4.75Jun 30, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$7.78Jun 30, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$15.40Jun 30, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$17.24Jun 29, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5$4.68Jun 29, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$6.02Jun 29, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5$3.38Jun 29, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)$3.38Jun 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.96Jun 29, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$2.06Jun 29, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BALU vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B$2.06Jun 29, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)$5.09Jun 29, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 19:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.