Calm-Initial
0x7c74e447ad8854afc8ba9b2bf57d745cbaacf90e
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$174.10
Total PnL
$-22.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 54.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.00
$-15.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$66.50
$3.50
- NO
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?
10 shares @ 92.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.05
$0.55
- NO
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.55
$0.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Trump post "DOJ" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$63.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$108.0013h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dovha Balka by March 31?$6.6838d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$7.3140d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dovha Balka by March 31?$4.2940d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.5940d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$53.0541d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.6342d ago
- TRADESELLChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?$7.3845d ago
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Elise Mertens vs Cristina Bucsa$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMDEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Augsburger Panther$0.0048d ago
- REDEEMZuffa Boxing 4: Ramos vs. Perez (Featherweight, Prelims)$2.5048d ago
- REDEEMZuffa Boxing 4: Salas vs. Saracho (Welterweight, Main)$5.0048d ago
- REDEEMWill there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$8.3348d ago
- TRADESELLWill "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$7.1248d ago
- TRADESELLWill "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$4.0948d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $11.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 50d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.