Gleaming-Gravitas
0x7cc9f01c03e4928e60cb57ad42c36088aaef34e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$560.37
Total PnL
$-82.03
Realised
$-92.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
184 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$184.05
$4.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
166 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$162.66
$2.66
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
121 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$121.35
$1.35
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
92 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$92.31
$2.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$120.00Jul 16, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$160.24Jul 16, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$180.00Jul 16, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$90.09Jul 16, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$163.10Jul 16, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$191.25Jul 16, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$201.72Jul 16, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$200.07Jun 26, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$182.56Jun 26, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$180.10Jun 7, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$188.00Jun 7, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$160.00Jun 7, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?$140.84Jun 7, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$169.87Jun 7, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$229.36Jun 7, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$225.00May 11, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?$140.00May 11, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$168.00May 11, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$132.11May 11, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$171.95May 11, 04:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $158.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.