0x7cdd55e09a85c1e7ec0a4e5e1fa9dc958d515173
0x7cdd55e09a85c1e7ec0a4e5e1fa9dc958d515173
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$91.69
Total PnL
$4.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.47
$4.57
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.29
$1.39
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.15
$1.25
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.91
$1.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.27
$-0.81
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$8.57
$4.79
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
12 shares @ 48.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.03
$-0.04
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.55
$-0.34
- NO
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.31
$0.31
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.20
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$1.74Jul 7, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of July 6 2026?$3.89Jul 6, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?$0.00Jul 4, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.01Jul 1, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$5.04Jun 14, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$5.20Jun 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$5.98Jun 13, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$10.50Jun 12, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$8.10Jun 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.94Jun 12, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$6.19Jun 11, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?$3.73May 31, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$4.72May 31, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$6.38May 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$10.23May 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$14.57May 20, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$17.07May 20, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 19, 07:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 04:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.