Mellow-Sip
0x7cde9cc2fc1ff9556b5167aaaa6fc5b3ce0ab97d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$23.4K
Total PnL
$-605.1K
Realised
$-60.8K
Win rate
36%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
52835 shares @ 93.0¢·now 14.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.8K
$-41.3K
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
8447 shares @ 76.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$7.4K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
35126 shares @ 64.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$-19.3K
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
10000 shares @ 67.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.4K
$-4.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
26472 shares @ 55.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$-13.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
30587 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$718.80
$3.61
- CELTICS
76ers vs. Celtics
178284 shares @ 88.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-158.2K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.9K
- EGYPT
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
41129 shares @ 84.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-34.8K
- CAVALIERS
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
25000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.49Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.91Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$764.09Jul 27, 20:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.6KJul 20, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.42Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.42Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.42Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$47.54Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$2.12Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.63Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.9KJul 14, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$42.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
55%
Window
May 21, 01:50 UTC → Jul 14, 02:14 UTC
- BUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.0K@88¢Jun 21, 12:28 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
55%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$19.4K · 45% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.